LIFE EXPECTANCY
OF THE CATASTROPHICALLY INJURED
CHILD: HANDLING THE DEFENSE EXPERT
Handling an action involving a catastrophically
injured child is often times fraught with difficulties. Not only must
plaintiff's counsel overcome diverse liability hurdles, but ultimately,
damages awarded by a judge or jury may be severely reduced due to a determination
of shortened life expectancy.
In essence, defendants hedge their "liability bets"
with forecasts of shortened life expectancy. Where liability is established,
exposure for significant future medical damages is nonetheless reduced
if defendants' experts' prognosis of shortened life expectancy is adopted
by the jury.
Of course, certain injuries may indeed result in
a greater probability of diminished expected lifetime. However it is the
quantum of reduction that is of true concern. A jury's adoption of the
wrong forecast in this regard will serve to deprive the plaintiff of the
very funds s/he may need the most. Tragically, the deprivation of funds
due to a misplaced adoption of a shortened life expectancy may cause a
true reduction of the child's life.
Since late 1987, and with increasing furor through
the 1990's, defendants have turned to a relatively small, although growing
cadre of experts who base their forecasts on the so-called "statistical
approach". Experts employing this approach tend to rely on four primary
publications for support.
Without fully reviewing the basis for the conclusions
set forth in the aforementioned publications, the statistical approach
to prognosis of life expectancy carries significant jury appeal.
First, it dehumanizes the injured plaintiff. The
plaintiff ceases to exist as a living, breathing, human being with needs,
and instead becomes a statistical number to be compared with other numbers,
each purportedly representing, by category, other individuals similarly
situated.
Secondly, the defense expert relying on the statistical
approach may garner credibility with the court and/or jury by "humbly"
conceding that while s/he is not prescient enough to fully predict the
life expectancy of plaintiff with certainty, the probabilities derived
from the statistical approach reflect a greater population and are therefore
more accurate and trustworthy than other more individualized approaches.
Lastly, the unwary plaintiff's counsel, in a rush
to emphasize the tragic injuries sustained by their client, may lend credibility
to the defense expert's forecast of shortened life expectancy.
Fortunately, in most instances, these problems
can be overcome. This article is written in order to suggest some practical
approaches, which if employed appropriately, should help to establish
the flawed nature of the statistical approach, thereby assisting the jury
to a true resolution of the life expectancy issue.
The
Statistical Approach
Without lending credibility to the statistical
approach, counsel are warned that proper cross-examination of adverse
experts (or treating doctors) utilizing this approach, requires a thorough
understanding of the methodology employed, and underlying classifications,
which lead to the statistical probability of remaining expected life.
While this article does not present an exhaustive review of the aforementioned
publications, counsel are urged to review each (case specific), early
in the prosecution of an action involving a catastrophically injured child.
In two of the four publications, subjects were
persons who received services from the California Department of Developmental
Services. All subjects had severe disabilities, and were to varying extent
mentally disabled. Furthermore, these publications categorized the subjects
based on certain characteristics (depending on article) including mobility,
rolling, hand use, arm use, toileting skills, eating skills, tube feeding,
and ambulation.
After categorizing the subjects based on these
characteristics, a statistical methodology was employed to "estimate"
lengths of survival. Simply put, by determining the number of persons
living to a particular age (with given characteristics and disabilities),
the authors statistically gained a probability "estimate" of the number
of such persons expected to survive to the age of interest.
While at first blush appearing to represent a
formidable blend of statistics with the medical sciences (pediatrics,
neurology, etc.) the statistical approach is not immune from attack, and
it is not difficult to point out shortcomings of the approach in plain
language that all in the courtroom can understand.
Attacking the Basis
of the Statistical Approach
First, counsel must carefully scrutinize the data
relied upon in the statistical approach. In the same two publications
referred to above (see fn. 5), the characteristics of the subjects were
obtained from Client Development Evaluation Reports. These Reports are
compiled by the California Department of Developmental Services once a
year, and are used, among other things, for placement purposes and not
biostatistics.
From these Reports, the authors derived virtually
all of the information regarding characteristics used to categorize a
particular individual in a table of projected life expectancy. From the
Reports, information regarding such factors as degree of brain damage,
age, sex, race, toileting skills, eating skills, mobility, etc., were
determined. Since it was an agency of the State of California that compiled
the raw data for its own internal purposes, it is unlikely counsel will
ever face an expert having had any role in the gathering of the raw data,
in the review of the raw data, or in comparing the raw data to the Reports
themselves.
Indeed, it is doubtful that any expert using those
studies, will have ever talked with, examined, or reviewed the informational
basis for the studies; to wit; the medical records of the subjects involved.
Secondly, counsel should examine the expert regarding
the total number of subjects actually utilized in the compilation of the
life expectancy table.
For example, the whole population basis reviewed
in the two publications noted above, was approximately 100,000. However,
the authors excluded all subjects that could walk, reducing the study
population to approximately 7,000. The 7,000 were further divided, by
category of characteristics, in various tables. Due to a mix of characteristics,
some subjects did not "fit" in any category and were simply excluded.
Lastly, the publications under discussion fail
to identify the causes of the catastrophic injury, whether traumatically
induced or progressive metabolic disease. Nor have the authors determined
the ultimate causes of death for the subjects involved. Indeed none of
the publications address the cause and effect relationship, if any, between
the disabilities and the death. For obvious reasons, this point is not
to be understated.
Establishing
Your Plaintiff as Lying Outside the Statistical Tables
Humanizing the plaintiff is an important presentational
aspect of any case. It is perhaps most important in the case of a catastrophically
injured child. In determining future damages, the jury must necessarily
determine life expectancy. The plaintiff gets no second chance.
With good medical care, many catastrophically
injured children stand a strong probability of a reasonably long life
expectancy. Such children are normally not at risk for such life shortening
activities caused by smoking tobacco, drinking and driving, etc. Good
medical care, however, is a necessary pre-requisite.
Plaintiff's expert must strive to discuss the
individual attributes of the plaintiff. Numerous characteristics, including
respiratory problems, or lack thereof, should be reviewed. Necessarily,
plaintiff's expert must review all medical records and physically examine
the plaintiff.
Often times, defense experts utilizing the statistical
approach will fail to physically examine the plaintiff. Instead, after
a review of plaintiff's medical records, such expert will attempt to neatly
categorize the plaintiff, by characteristics, into one of the life tables
contained in the publications discussed above.
Where possible, counsel should force defendant's
expert to concede that the plaintiff lies outside the life tables. In
many instances, this concession is not difficult to obtain. Because of
the limited number of subjects actually utilized in the compilation of
the life tables, the publications themselves concede that certain subjects
fell outside of the life tables. Counsel are urged to gain this concession
from defendant's expert during deposition, before trial.
Attacking the
Credibility of the Expert
At the outset, it is important that plaintiff's
counsel recognize the authors' intended goals for the publications employing
the statistical approach.
For example, during a jury trial in Illinois occurring
on September 19, 1991, Richard Eyman, Ph.D. (testifying for the defense),
admitted that the first draft of his co-authored article entitled, The
Life Expectancy of Profoundly Handicapped People With Mental Retardation,
supra, at fn. 4, listed as one of its purposes, use in the medical legal
arena including medical malpractice lawsuits. Dr. Eyman went on to testify
that the aforementioned "purpose" was taken out of the final version of
the ultimately published article.
Similarly, during the recent trial of Wright v.
St. Rose Hospital, Alameda County Superior Court Action No. H-168081-2,
Herbert J. Grossman, M.D. (testifying for the defense), admitted that
earlier drafts of the same article did contain as an intended purpose
its use in the medical malpractice arena. Moreover, Dr. Grossman admitted
that his work as an expert witness had been almost entirely for the defense
since the publication of such article. Lastly, he admitted that his expert
witness services had grown expediently since publication.
Secondly, since the expert pool adopting the statistical
approach is relatively small, counsel should fully explore the amount
of medical legal work performed by the expert, and the percentage of retention
on behalf of defense interests. Perhaps more so than in any other area,
experts adopting the statistical approach appear uniformly to be tied
to the defense. Indeed, certain experts have carved out a profitable career
in this area.
Lastly, do not lose track of the qualifications
of the expert. Is the expert a biostatistician? Is the expert an internist?
Is the expert a computer programmer? Is the expert a pediatric neurologist?
The qualifications of the expert alone may determine the admissibility
of the statistical approach in determining future life expectancy.
Conclusion
The use of the statistical approach in determining
future life expectancy of catastrophically injured children has been misplaced.
The basis for the conclusions drawn by the studies is suspect since no
review of the underlying data was made by qualified medical personnel.
The conclusions are also suspect since they purport to draw statistical
significance from a pool of subjects which are craftily chosen, and no
acceptable reasons are provided for exclusion of others. By highlighting
these deficiencies one can attempt to dissuade adoption of the statistical
approach and focus, instead, on the specific nature and characteristics
of the child.
1. Compounding the losses associated with medical
care (care the child will need if s/he outlives defendants' life expectancy
forecast), are the medical care cost growth rates which have risen astronomically.
The Consumer Price Index Detailed Report, January, 1995, Presidential
Study, placed the annually compounded medical growth rate, overall, between
1950-1994 at an average of 6.2%. The breakdown, by medical category; Medical
Care Services - 6.6%; Professional Services - 5.9%, Medical Care Commodities
Prescriptions and Drugs - 3.8%; Hospital Room and Related Services - 9.3%.
2. Depending on the forecast, a child's parents
may be unable to care for the child (due to the parents' age or death)
at the time funds exhaust. Moreover, and as will be discussed below, infra,
longevity of a catastrophically injured child's life may be dependent
upon the quality of the future medical care.
3. Perhaps most commonly seen are Herbert Grossman,
M.D. and Richard K. Eyman, Ph.D., although the demand of defendants has
made room for additional experts employing the "statistical approach".
4. See, Eyman R.K., Grossman H.J., Tarjan G., Miller
C.R., Life Expectancy and Mental Retardation: A Longitudinal Study in
a State Residential Facility, Washington D.C.; American Association on
Mental Deficiency; 1987:7; Monographs of the American Association on Mental
Deficiency; Eyman, R.K., Grossman, H.J., Chaney R.H., Call T.L., The Life
Expectancy of Profoundly Handicapped People With Mental Retardation, N.Engl.J.Med.
1990; 323:584-589; Eyman R.K., Olmstead C.E., Grossman H.J., Call T.L.,
Mortality and the Acquisition of Basic Skills by Children and Adults With
Severe Disabilities, Amer.Journ.Dis.Child., February 1993; Eyman R.K.,
Grossman H.J., Chaney R.H., Call T.L., Survival of Profoundly Disabled
With Severe Mental Retardation, Amer.Journ.Dis.Child., March, 1993, p.
329.
5. The Life Expectancy of Profoundly Handicapped
People with Mental Retardation, supra; Survival of Propounding Disabled
With Severe Mental Retardation, supra, fn. 4.
6. Conversely, counsel may wish to keep certain
concepts "complex", thereby allowing the defense expert to confuse the
jury with the statistical methodology employed. This will help reinforce
the human aspects of plaintiff's case and lend credibility to plaintiff's
experts' individualized treatment of the issue.
7. Woodward v. Trupin, Circuit Court of the Sixth
Judicial Circuit, Champaign County, Illinois, Case No. 88-L-251.
8. This case involved a brain damaged, spastic
quadriplegic young child fed through a gastrostomy. The defendant failed
to timely diagnose bacterial meningitis. Despite Dr. Grossman's testimony,
it was determined the nine-year-old child had another 56 years life expectancy.
Randall H. Scarlett tried the case on behalf of minor plaintiff.